LiveFelt — live verified odds
All 17 sports × 5 modes. Modeled odds shown for every sport (from the calibration maps); live plays overlaid where captured. Green = fair target · red = current map ·
○ = live measured .
table ·
proposals 0m ago 16 sports × 5 modes1 live nowtoday 195 plays total 6100 logged
●CRYPTO (BTC) MLB NBA NCAAF NCAAM NFL NHL SOCCER WNBA CRICKET ESPORTS (CS2) GOLF INDICES (ES) NCAA BSB TENNIS UFC / MMA
CRYPTO (BTC) 1-second bar ● LIVE · 1175 plays
CRASH model gap 18.0pp · live overlaid
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0 · live TVD 0.1891
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS forced RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live top-symbol share (PUMP) 100.0% BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION live card draws 1175 · uniform (fair 52-deck) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION live hands 167 · category spread matches fair deck
MLB pitch no live data yet · awaiting a game
CRASH model gap 11.2pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
NBA chance (possession segment) no live data yet · awaiting a game
CRASH model gap 31.7pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
NCAAF scrimmage play (resolved) no live data yet · awaiting a game
CRASH model gap 10.9pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
NCAAM possession (terminal) no live data yet · awaiting a game
CRASH model gap 32.5pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
NFL scrimmage play (resolved) no live data yet · awaiting a game
CRASH model gap 10.5pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
NHL RTSS event no live data yet · awaiting a game
CRASH model gap 6.8pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
SOCCER on-ball event (Opta) no live data yet · awaiting a game
CRASH model gap 15.9pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS forced RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
WNBA chance (possession segment) no live data yet · awaiting a game
CRASH model gap 36.0pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
CRICKET delivery (T20) no feed built yet
CRASH model gap 2.5pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
ESPORTS (CS2) kill/objective tick no feed built yet
CRASH forced model gap 9.2pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS forced model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
GOLF hole result (field-multiplexed) no feed built yet
CRASH model gap 12.8pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS forced model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK forced uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER forced uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
INDICES (ES) 1-minute bar no feed built yet
CRASH model gap 32.7pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS
N/A · this mode doesn’t fit INDICES (ES)
BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
NCAA BSB plate appearance no feed built yet
CRASH model gap 42.4pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
TENNIS point no feed built yet
CRASH model gap 4.2pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · Casino Hold’em standard edge
UFC / MMA significant strike attempt no feed built yet
CRASH model gap 3.8pp
0% 50% 100% 1.2× 1.5× 2× 2.5× 3× 4× 5× 7× 10× 15× 25× CRAPS forced model TVD 0
0% 10% 20% 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 SLOTS RTP 95% modeled
modeled RTP (target 95%) 95.0% live symbol data: none yet BLACKJACK forced uniform deck
FAIR BY CONSTRUCTION fair 52-deck by construction · house edge = rules only (~0.5%) POKER
N/A · this mode doesn’t fit UFC / MMA
Permanent framework: every sport × mode has a home. Modeled odds come from the canonical calibration maps (present for all 17 sports today); live measured data overlays as each sport goes live and the daily cron captures it. Blackjack & poker are fair by construction. "No live data yet" = the sport hasn’t been captured live (out of season / no feed) — the modeled odds still show.